The Curious Case of Dan Haren


Dan Haren, the name used to mean an ace, but recently it has meant a player who has fallen off quite steeply. Just looking at the standard stats, the numbers are average at best, ugly at worse. As unimpressive as the numbers are now, they were even worse a few weeks ago. Let’s take a look.

ERA: 4.61, that’s pretty much dead average, maybe a tiny bit worse.

HR- He has given up 17 home runs in just 95 innings, up there with the worst of them.

Record- 7 wins and 4 losses is not bad at all, but when do wins and losses ever tell the full story?

WHIP- 1.31, again, almost dead average, maybe a little bit worse.

Hits- He has given up more than a hit per inning, 108 hits in 95.2 innings.

Now let’s look at some metrics that show him in a little better light…

K- Haren ranks first in the NL with 97 strikeouts.

Finally, let’s look at Haren’s xFIP which takes into account fielding and the ballparks he’s pitching in. Most pitchers have an xFIP ranging from slightly to significantly higher than their ERA. However, this is not the case with Haren. As aforementioned, he has an ERA of 4.61, yet he has an xFIP of just 3.25, good for seventh in the majors. He trails only Roy Halladay, Francisco Liriano, Cliff Lee, Tim Lincecum, Adam Wainwright, and Ricky Romero in this stat, pretty good company. This puts him ahead of many pitchers who are having fantastic years, such as Ubaldo Jimenez, Phil Hughes, David Price, Josh Johnson, Jon Lester, and Roy Oswalt among others. So what’s the final ruling on his year? It’s good, very good. Teams looking to acquire an ace at the deadline should seriously look into buying low on Dan Haren.

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About mlbprospects

I'm an avid baseball fan and am devoted to bringing you information about top prospects and other baseball related things.
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